Institutional Factsheet · Quantalyze

Midas ML Factor

directional, market_neutral · machine learning, factor model · crypto_spot · Binance, OKX · leverage 1x

Gradient-boosted factor model on cross-asset technical + on-chain features. Weekly rebalance, target 10% vol.

Computed · old

May 27, 2026(89d)

AUM

$4M/ $12M

Cum. Return

+136.6%

CAGR

+42.5%

Sharpe

2.06

Sortino

3.18

Calmar

2.82

Max DD

-15.1%

Ann. Vol

17.3%

α vs BTC

+35.7%

IR vs BTC

-0.07

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Timeline2023-11-012026-04-08
2023202420252026

Performance

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Cumulative Returns

vs BTC-USD

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+0.0%+50.0%+100.0%+200.0%2023202420252026
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Cumulative Returns vs Benchmark

strategy ÷ comparator, rebased to 1.0

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-40.0%-20.0%+0.0%+20.0%2023202420252026
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Cumulative Returns — Volatility Matched

comparator returns scaled so its ann vol equals the strategy's

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+0.0%+50.0%+100.0%+150.0%2023202420252026
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Daily Returns

vs BTC-USD

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-15.0%-10.0%-5.0%-0.0%+5.0%+10.0%+15.0%2023202420252026
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Rolling Volatility (6mo)

vs BTC-USD

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N<126 — noisy+20.0%+30.0%+40.0%+50.0%+60.0%2023202420252026avg 17.2%
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Rolling Sharpe (6mo)

vs BTC-USD

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N<126 — noisy-2.00+0.00+2.00+4.002023202420252026avg 2.00
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Rolling Sortino (6mo)

vs BTC-USD

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N<126 — noisy-4.00-2.00+0.00+2.00+4.00+6.00+8.002023202420252026avg 3.26
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Rolling β (90d) vs Comparator

rolling regression β of strategy on comparator · first 90d are warmup

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N<90 — noisy-0.08-0.06-0.04-0.02+0.00+0.02+0.042023202420252026
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Worst 10 Drawdown Periods

strategy equity · shaded bands mark the deepest 10 drawdowns

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+0.0%+50.0%+100.0%+150.0%2023202420252026#1 -15.1%#2 -7.6%#3 -5.3%#4 -4.7%#5 -4.4%#6 -4.3%#7 -4.1%#8 -4.1%#9 -4.0%#10 -3.8%
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Underwater Chart for Accumulated Capital

drawdown from running peak

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-15.0%-10.0%-5.0%-0.0%2023202420252026

Distribution

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Distribution of Daily Returns

636 samples in visible window · overlay: BTC-USD · 2 strategy · 143 BTC outside range

Midas ML FactorBTC-USDWheel to zoom · double-click to reset
-3.4%0%+3.4%

Daily-Return Quantile Box

5-number summary · whiskers at min/max · box P25–P75 · median accent line

P5 -1.7%P95 +1.8%-3.3%0%+4.0%

P5

-1.7%

P25

-0.6%

Median

+0.2%

P75

+0.9%

P95

+1.8%

End-of-Year Returns vs BTC

compounded annual returns · scale ±122% · strategy in accent, BTC in muted

Midas ML FactorBTC-USD2023+22.6%+18.8%2024+68.8%+122.4%2025+17.7%-6.3%2026-2.8%-18.9%

Cross-Asset Correlation

Pearson ρ on aligned daily returns · ρ near 0 implies diversification benefit

-1.0-0.50.00.51.0BTC-0.00ETH-0.01S&P 500+0.03Gold+0.01US 10Y (IEF)+0.06

ρ measured against the strategy's observation dates with each benchmark forward-filled to the same calendar.

Returns Correlations

Pearson ρ on aligned daily returns · diagonal = 1.00 · pairwise off-diagonal

Midas ML Fa…BTCETHSPXGoldIEFMidas ML Fa…1.00-0.00-0.010.030.010.06BTC-0.001.000.820.350.11-0.08ETH-0.010.821.000.420.10-0.03SPX0.030.350.421.000.130.04Gold0.010.110.100.131.000.16IEF0.06-0.08-0.030.040.161.00

Heatmaps

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Stress Windows

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Stress Windows

strategy vs BTC compounded return + max drawdown during named market events · evaluating 2 of 10 catalogued events; 8 outside observation period

EventWindowDaysStrategyStrat DDBTCBTC DD
Aug 2024 unwind
JPY carry-trade unwind
2024-08-022024-08-096d+0.0%-1.5%-6.9%-17.3%
Apr 2025 tariffs
tariff escalation shock
2025-04-022025-04-096d-2.6%-2.6%-3.0%-10.4%

Streaks

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Consecutive-Day Streak Distribution

153 winning streaks · 152 losing streaks · max win streak 12d · max loss streak 7d

Wins

0204060Length 1: 60 streaksLength 2: 44 streaksLength 3: 20 streaksLength 4: 15 streaksLength 5: 10 streaksLength 6: 2 streaksLength 11: 1 streakLength 12: 1 streak13579111314+

Losses

020406080100Length 1: 82 streaksLength 2: 37 streaksLength 3: 18 streaksLength 4: 7 streaksLength 5: 4 streaksLength 6: 3 streaksLength 7: 1 streak13579111314+