Institutional Factsheet · Quantalyze

Drift Liquidation Fade

directional · event driven, liquidation fade · BTC · ETH · Binance, Bybit · leverage 2x

Fades cascading liquidation events on BTC/ETH perps. Enters counter-trend after >$100M in 5-minute liquidations.

Computed · old

May 27, 2026(89d)

AUM

$1M/ $5M

Cum. Return

+74.2%

CAGR

+23.8%

Sharpe

0.95

Sortino

1.38

Calmar

0.95

Max DD

-25.1%

Ann. Vol

24.9%

α vs BTC

+22.7%

IR vs BTC

-0.48

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Timeline2023-09-012026-04-08
2023202420252026

Performance

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Cumulative Returns

vs BTC-USD

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+0.0%+50.0%+100.0%+200.0%+400.0%2023202420252026
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Cumulative Returns vs Benchmark

strategy ÷ comparator, rebased to 1.0

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-80.0%-60.0%-40.0%-20.0%+0.0%2023202420252026
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Cumulative Returns — Volatility Matched

comparator returns scaled so its ann vol equals the strategy's

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+0.0%+50.0%+100.0%+150.0%2023202420252026
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Daily Returns

vs BTC-USD

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-15.0%-10.0%-5.0%-0.0%+5.0%+10.0%+15.0%2023202420252026
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Rolling Volatility (6mo)

vs BTC-USD

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N<126 — noisy+30.0%+40.0%+50.0%+60.0%2023202420252026avg 25.0%
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Rolling Sharpe (6mo)

vs BTC-USD

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N<126 — noisy-2.00+0.00+2.00+4.002023202420252026avg 0.81
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Rolling Sortino (6mo)

vs BTC-USD

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N<126 — noisy-4.00-2.00+0.00+2.00+4.00+6.00+8.002023202420252026avg 1.23
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Rolling β (90d) vs Comparator

rolling regression β of strategy on comparator · first 90d are warmup

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N<90 — noisy-0.10-0.05+0.00+0.05+0.10+0.152023202420252026
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Worst 10 Drawdown Periods

strategy equity · shaded bands mark the deepest 10 drawdowns

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+0.0%+20.0%+40.0%+60.0%+80.0%2023202420252026#1 -25.1%#2 -18.4%#3 -12.7%#4 -12.1%#5 -10.6%#6 -8.3%#7 -8.3%#8 -8.2%#9 -7.6%#10 -7.1%
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Underwater Chart for Accumulated Capital

drawdown from running peak

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-25.0%-20.0%-15.0%-10.0%-5.0%-0.0%2023202420252026

Distribution

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Distribution of Daily Returns

679 samples in visible window · overlay: BTC-USD · 3 strategy · 79 BTC outside range

Drift Liquidation FadeBTC-USDWheel to zoom · double-click to reset
-4.5%0%+4.5%

Daily-Return Quantile Box

5-number summary · whiskers at min/max · box P25–P75 · median accent line

P5 -2.5%P95 +2.7%-6.9%0%+4.8%

P5

-2.5%

P25

-0.9%

Median

+0.2%

P75

+1.2%

P95

+2.7%

End-of-Year Returns vs BTC

compounded annual returns · scale ±122% · strategy in accent, BTC in muted

Drift Liquidation FadeBTC-USD2023-2.1%+63.0%2024+20.6%+122.4%2025+5.7%-6.3%2026+39.6%-18.9%

Cross-Asset Correlation

Pearson ρ on aligned daily returns · ρ near 0 implies diversification benefit

-1.0-0.50.00.51.0BTC+0.04ETH+0.08S&P 500+0.03Gold-0.02US 10Y (IEF)-0.02

ρ measured against the strategy's observation dates with each benchmark forward-filled to the same calendar.

Returns Correlations

Pearson ρ on aligned daily returns · diagonal = 1.00 · pairwise off-diagonal

Drift Liqui…BTCETHSPXGoldIEFDrift Liqui…1.000.040.080.03-0.02-0.02BTC0.041.000.820.340.10-0.07ETH0.080.821.000.400.09-0.02SPX0.030.340.401.000.120.05Gold-0.020.100.090.121.000.17IEF-0.02-0.07-0.020.050.171.00

Heatmaps

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Stress Windows

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Stress Windows

strategy vs BTC compounded return + max drawdown during named market events · evaluating 2 of 10 catalogued events; 8 outside observation period

EventWindowDaysStrategyStrat DDBTCBTC DD
Aug 2024 unwind
JPY carry-trade unwind
2024-08-022024-08-096d-2.7%-3.6%-6.9%-17.3%
Apr 2025 tariffs
tariff escalation shock
2025-04-022025-04-096d+1.4%-1.6%-3.0%-10.4%

Streaks

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Consecutive-Day Streak Distribution

178 winning streaks · 179 losing streaks · max win streak 8d · max loss streak 8d

Wins

020406080100Length 1: 92 streaksLength 2: 38 streaksLength 3: 21 streaksLength 4: 15 streaksLength 5: 5 streaksLength 6: 5 streaksLength 7: 1 streakLength 8: 1 streak13579111314+

Losses

020406080100Length 1: 98 streaksLength 2: 50 streaksLength 3: 15 streaksLength 4: 9 streaksLength 5: 5 streaksLength 6: 1 streakLength 8: 1 streak13579111314+